The Federal Open Market Committee concluded its policy meeting last week. The U.S. Treasury has taken "extraordinary measures" in response to the federal government reaching the debt ceiling. Meanwhile, trillions in spending are being debated in both chambers and the markets seem to have yawned at the prospect of higher inflation.
U.S. financial markets react to the Fed talking rate increases and tapering their bond purchasing program. Municipal issuance picked up in June, and a low volume of trading has the municipal market relatively stable compared to treasury and equities markets.
The stream of fairly positive economic data was disrupted by the shock of an underwhelming jobs report and a notable uptick in inflation measures. Muni markets have, nevertheless, remained steady.
This week's commentary looks at the reactions to higher than expected inflation. Municipal yields have remained flat from March into April, and details about the President's 2022 budget outline.
While March was largely a difficult month for bonds, the fixed income markets have stabilized as we head into the second quarter. President Biden announces objectives for an additional large spending bill and introduces dramatic changes to federal tax law.
With the passage of The American Rescue Plan, focus now shifts to future legislative proposals and the possibility of tax increases, in part to address the growing federal deficit. Municipal bond yields have declined modestly over the past two weeks, and several legislative proposals specific to municipal bonds are being supported by local government groups.
Market Focus is on Washington D.C.
Economists Surveyed Expect Slower, But Strong Growth
Takeaways from the June Jobs’ Report
Reactions to Last Week’s Fed Meeting
Federal Reserve Staying The Course…For Now
Muni Markets Steady Amid Shock of an Underwhelming Jobs Report
Biden Proposes $1.8 Trillion Families Plan and Additional Tax Increases, Muni Market Enjoying Some Tailwinds
Higher Than Expected Inflation
Bond Market Calms and Federal Government Introduces Potential Stimulus and Tax Changes
Fiscal Policy Debates Loom, Municipal Bond Yields Decline, & Public Finance Proposals Resurface